Author: Eduardo Rivera Santamaria

My years of doing business in the United States have taught me to be wary of midterm popularity polls, because they have about as much predictive value as a weather forecast from three days ago. In recent weeks, Trump’s approval rating among the general public has remained at 39%, and that number is being circulated in the media as if it were a definitive verdict on the state of the Republican Party. Those who read that percentage without looking at what’s happening within the Republican electoral base are jumping to conclusions, because that base—which is what mobilizes votes in…